Williams receives a weather respite

Rain drops rippled puddles this morning.

Rain drops rippled puddles this morning.

WILLIAMS – The Zip Line ride in downtown Williams opened this afternoon as the city received a respite from the hailstorm of yesterday. The rain continued throughout the night and into this morning.

140803-18-hail

No. That green thing is a real softball.

The good news is that the ground is so saturated that puddles are forming throughout the town. This limits the fire danger considerably. This is particularly helpful since the Kaibab Forest service plans to continue managed burns. Patches of hail remain from the storm yesterday.

The forecast shows a 40% chance of thunderstorms throughout the night which has already started as of this writing. The low is expected to be about 54 with south southeast wind around 8 mph.

Here's mud in your face.

Here’s mud in your face.

Tomorrow there is a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. It will be mostly cloudy, with a high near 75. The wind will be south 7 to 16 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Tomorrow night there is a 30 percent chance of thundershower activity with winds just slightly less.

Tuesday and Wednesday are expected to be clear with a chance of thunderstorms beginning again on Thursday.

The weather for Flagstaff is essentially identical and the weather service has issued a warning about possible localized flooding for the area.

Williams experiences global cooling

Williams drenched by rain and hail.

Williams drenched by rain and hail.

WILLIAMS – The City of Williams was deluged, today, by a short duration of rain and hail. It hailed so heavily that there appeared to be piles of snow on the ground and traffic slowed to the speed limit.

Williams was enjoying a warm day when the rain and hail hit about 1 pm. Electricity went out for about a minute. The ground was still so warm that in some areas steam began to rise creating a thin fog. The temperature dropped drastically and as of this writing is still cool.

Five Feet High and Rising

buckskin-risingWILLIAMS – The current monsoon season seems to have done some good for Williams. You will probably not see a difference looking at Santa Fe dam or some of the other reservoirs.

The Buckskinner Park reservoir is a bit different. It is easier to see the water rise against the dam built there.

In May when both the dam at Buckskinner and Santa Fe are expected to be overflowing, the water in both was lowering.

A recent picture a few days ago shows that the water is clearly rising.

As for future precipitation, there is a 20% chance of rain before 11pm tonight dropping to 10% chance tomorrow. It will be partly cloudy Sunday returning to clear on Monday. There is a slight chance of rain the rest of the week.

Rain probable through Tuesday

20140524 136WILLIAMS – The monsoons appear to be building up strength, again, according to the long range weather forecast. The outlook for both Flagstaff and Williams are virtually the same.

Tomorrow the chance for precipitation and lightning is 50% rising to 60% on Monday. The chance drops back to 50% Monday night and Tuesday. Winds will be nominal about 3- to 8-mph throughout the same period.

The weather service warns of moderate to heavy rainfall.

Does Slide Rock fire portend foreboding for Williams?

The Twin Fire of October 2009 near Williams caused by an out-of-control prescribed burn. (Photo Marv Mason from I-40)

The Twin Fire of October 2009 near Williams caused by an out-of-control prescribed burn. (Photo Marv Mason from I-40)

WILLIAMS – The dry winter season has caused the reservoirs in Williams to start to dry up. These reservoirs not only provide drinking water, but a source of fire fighting water for the forests.

20091004-029Williams has not seen a major fire since a prescribed burn went out of control resulting in the Twin Fires of October 2009. Two prescribed burns were swept by winds to join into a conflagration that caused concern and evacuations of portions of the City of Williams.

At that time water in Williams was plentiful.

Mayor John Moore of Williams optimistically stated that we probably have enough non-potable water in Santa Fe, Gonzales Lake and other reservoirs to fight a fire. He is not anxious, however, to test the theory. Williams would have access to the Hot Shots, air craft and other fire resources currently combating the Slide Rock fire.

“The Slide Rock fire is a bad situation,” Mayor Moore said. “I am sorry for those people. I’m happy we don’t have a fire here, but that doesn’t mean that it couldn’t occur here. Particularly looking at the thunderstorm situation predicted for this weekend. Those are actually fire starters.”

Williams normally experiences high winds during this time frame which generally rescind, for the most part, after Memorial Day. Winds are expected to be between 7 to 13 mph with gusts up to 24 mph through Thursday night. The long range forecast for this week shows a chance of thunderstorms through Memorial Day with a 20% chance of precipitation Thursday night rising to 30% Friday night.

The question is whether or not there will be enough precipitation to keep the Kaibab Forest around Williams open.

“I will be talking to the forest service tomorrow [May 20] to see if they have got any new plans; what their intentions are,” Moore said. “Right now if they said ‘Close her down’ I would support them 100%. I hate to loose the business—and we are going to loose business—but that’s our livelihood for years to come.”

Slide Rock and Sunset fires first major fires of the season

Near Slide Rock State Park in Sedona, the Brins Fire burnt 4,300 acres during the summer of 2006. This photo is of the cliffs above the Slide Rock parking lot. (Arizona State Parks web site)

Near Slide Rock State Park in Sedona, the Brins Fire burnt 4,300 acres during the summer of 2006. This photo is of the cliffs above the Slide Rock parking lot. (Arizona State Parks web site)

OAK CREEK – High winds and restricted area are making difficult the fighting of a fire in Oak Creek Canyon about a mile north of Slide Rock State park reported just before 4 pm today. It is being fought largely with aircraft. Witnesses reported to KTVK in Phoenix that fire fighting crews responded with amazing swiftness after the fire was reported.

A separate fire near Cordes Junction closed portions of Interstate 17 for about four hours.

The Slide Fire, reported just before 4 p.m. today, is currently estimated to be 20 acres, burning on the north side of Highway 89 in Oak Creek Canyon near Slide Rock State Park.

Multiple firefighting units are responding, including two Hotshot crews, four engines, two helicopters, an air attack unit and Sedona Fire.

Gerry Blair of the Coconino County Sheriff’s Office told KTVK in Phoenix that they are requesting some evacuations and that he had heard of no fire-related injuries.

Highway 89 may close to traffic near the Slide Rock area, and evacuations are being ordered for areas just north of Slide Rock State Park. It is unknown whether there are any structures threatened at this time.

The fire is currently moving to the north and fuel treatments in the area have kept the fire from aggressive activity.

Cause is unknown at this time.

The American Red Cross Grand Canyon Chapter has opened a shelter at Sinagua Middle School, 3950 E. Butler Avenue, in Flagstaff for those displaced by the fire in Oak Creek Canyon.

The Sunset brush fire near Sunset Point north of Phoenix caused Interstate 17 to be closed for a time. After more than four-hours, Interstate 17 was reopened. according to the Arizona Department of Transportation.

At 6:30 p.m., both directions of the freeway were reopened. The left lane was closed in each direction for two miles, from milepost 254-256. There is no indication when those lanes would reopen.

The freeway had been closed from near the Sunset Point Rest Area 35 miles north of Phoenix to just south of the Cordes Junction exit at SR 69 beginning about 2 p.m.

Rain and snow possible Wednesday and Thursday.

sante-fe-reservoir

Predicted precipitation probably will not stop the lowering of the Santa Fe Reservoir.

WILLIAMS – The forecast for Wednesday and Thursday from the National Weather Service shows a possibility of snow and rain with little or no snow accumulation.

For Wednesday there is a 30% chance of rain after 11 with some thunder possible. Wednesday night there is a 30% chance of rain and snow before 11 pm with snow after. Thursday there is a 10% chance of snow before 11 am followed by a slight chance of rain and snow showers.

Winds on Wednesday are predicted from the southwest 19 to 14 mph increasing to 23 to 28 mph by the afternoon. Gusts of 45 mph are possible. Winds will decrease to 9 to 14 mph after midnight. Winds on Thursday will be from the south southwest at 7 to 17 mph with gusts up to 28 mph. Winds Thursday night will be 11 to 16 mph becoming light after midnight.

The rest of the week shifts between partly cloudy and sunny with warm weather. The next chance for precipitation is next Tuesday.

Clear days ahead for Williams Weekend of Openings.

ZiplineWILLIAMS – While high winds are possible Saturday, the weekend will be sunny and warm for your exploration of the businesses which re-opened this week.

treats-01The Zip Line ride will begin operation starting tomorrow. Eventually one of the seats will come down to be shipped to Vermont.

It was reported earlier this week that Maria’s Taco Shop on Fourth street opened. Ivo’s restaurant downtown next to the Addicted to Deals route 66 store has re-opened, as well.

Treats and Treasures at 309 West Route 66 has re-opened with new product. Along with their selection of cane sugar sodas and candy they have added a new Teriyaki Beef soda. They also carry some different souvenirs and collectible coins.

treats-02And, of course, there is Bearizona open through out the week.

Saturday is expected to be sunny, with a high near 56. Breezy, with a north wind 8 to 13 mph increasing to 18 to 23 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 33 mph. Overnight will be clear, with a low around 27. Blustery, with a northeast wind 16 to 23 mph, with gusts as high as 33 mph.

On Sunday the forecast is for sunny, with a high near 61. Northeast wind 11 to 16 mph, with gusts as high as 23 mph. Clear, with a low around 28. North wind 5 to 8 mph becoming calm in the evening.

The rest of the week looks mostly clear with highs just below sixty and lows in the lower thirties over night.

Rain and snow Friday.

rasn50WILLIAMS – The weather service predicts rain and snow starting today through Friday with some snow accumulation possible. The same conditions exist for Flagstaff.

Scattered rain and snow showers are expected this afternoon with some thunder possible tonight in Flagstaff. There is a possibility of a half-inch of snow accumulation overnight.

The rain and snow conditions will continue through Friday during the day returning to sunny and warm by Saturday.

Rain forecast for tomorrow.

signoftimes-03WILLIAMS – There is another chance of rain for Williams starting tomorrow. It is doubtful if it will be a significant amount.

The latest prediction is a 10% chance of rain tomorrow night rising to 20% during the day Friday and 30% Friday night.

Wind gusts of 24 mph are possible tomorrow during the day. Winds will be 11-16 mph Thursday night with gusts up to 23. Winds over Friday are expected to be 8-13 mph during the day dropping at night.

The long-range forecast shows rain ceasing over the rest of next week with temperatures rising to the sixties.